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Center for Nonlinear Studies |
This talk will give a high level overview of a new research program focusing on improving climate impacts assessments using Integrated Assessment Models. This work builds on related work by a nationwide group of university based researchers and their collaborators over the last decade. The goal of this research program is to build a next generation integrated suite of science-driven modeling and analytic capabilities, and a more expanded and connected community of practice, for analyses of the stressors, impacts, adaptations and vulnerabilities of global and regional change, with emphasis in understanding the Energy-Water-Land Nexus and interdependent infrastructures. Although the scope spans many complex facets of data, modeling, and analysis, as well as scales appropriate for integrated impacts and adaptation research, a particular focus of this effort is the development of multi-model, multi-scale capabilities spanning the domains of Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs); Impact, Adaptation, and Vulnerability (IAV) models; and Earth System Models (ESMs). The new capabilities and interactions will be achieved by: Developing a use-inspired, innovative and adaptive framework for multi-model multi-scale research and analysis of integrated impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability (I-IAV). Building foundational, modeling integration methods and capabilities with the development of coupling software, emulators, advanced computational and statistical methods, and translational tools. Assessing and establishing best modeling practices, and developing and testing framework evaluation tools, via methods comparisons, diagnostics, and integrated uncertainty analyses. Creating a better organized multi-sectoral/multi-regional/multi-model community of practice by promoting systematic engagement between the IAM, IAV, and ESM communities, advancing team-based methodological developments and integrated modeling experiments in I-IAV research.
Host: Scott Backhaus