November 4-6, 2010

Santa Fe, New Mexico, USA

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Speakers

To Be Announced

Background

Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) integrates the output of (typically large-scale) computation with experimental/observational data for the purpose of drawing inferences and making predictions. UQ provides a crucial measure of confidence to these predictions and, as such, has become paramount to simulation science.  As simulation science has become an integral part of the decision making process, the quantification of uncertainty has become even more important.

Over the past decade, UQ has played an increasingly more central role in NNSA’s stockpile stewardship mission, as well as other national security missions.  UQ is also playing an increasingly more prominent role in a wide variety of scientific application areas including engineering, manufacturing, climate change, nuclear energy, and high-energy physics. Currently, the UQ community is not very cohesive.  Its constituents work in national laboratories, industry, and academia.  Their research areas include mathematics, statistics, information science, computer and computational science, as well as a wide variety of application specific disciplines such as physics, engineering, material science, biology, and public health.  We feel there may be a substantial benefit to be had by improving communication and collaboration within this broad area. 

Workshop Goals

This workshop has two main goals.

1. Create a roadmap for UQ research priorities and opportunities – this includes theoretical research, methodology development, identifying opportunities in application areas, and identifying opportunities in interfacing with high performance computing.  This is of interest to Los Alamos National Laboratory, as well as the broader UQ Community.
2. Improve the cohesion of the broader UQ research community.

From workshop activity, a roadmap will be produced which details priorities and opportunities for UQ.  In addition, articles on current research activity are invited to be submitted to Uncertainty Quantification – a recently established journal.  We expect the roadmap, after suitable reviewing, will be published in this journal.